Joe Dellera: Denver is by far the best team Miami will have to play in the postseason, and because the Heat could not close out the sweep, they played an extra three games with no real opportunity to rest. I like Nuggets in five, but will bet the -1.5 here at pretty decent juice.Ĭheck out our free NBA odds page, which automatically surfaces the best line for every game.

Miami gets two on the back of Heat Culture, but not enough to survive the Reign of Joker. I respect Miami enough not to take a big swing on -2.5 or a sweep, it’s just not the kind of bettor I am, though I think there’s value there.

They have shooting to keep up with the Heat if they run hot and a daunting home court where they are undefeated. The Nuggets have wings to throw at Jimmy Butler, and, I guess, Caleb Martin. The one thing this Heat team lacks is bigs.īam Adebayo has more struggles vs. The Nuggets’ offensive floor is so much higher because of Nikola Jokic. But the Heat had specific things to attack or shut down against those teams. The Nuggets can be the better team and lose - Miami has proven that against the Milwaukee Bucks and Boston Celtics. We can adjust our priors on Miami to even them, but this is still a team that went six with the Knicks and almost became the first team to blow a 3-0 lead.īut more than that, this is about the matchup. But that’s a narrative, and the unlikely outcome occurring twice does not make a third time more likely.

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